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Friday, November 11, 2011

NFL Week 10 Picks

Happy Veteran's Day everyone! Since I have the day off from work today thanks to all those men and women who are willing to serve their country I decided to take the time to do my Week 10 picks. Since I am posting this after the Thursday night game this week I battled on who I was going to pick but I ended up going with the Chargers and once again they failed me as Carson Palmer showed he still has got some swag left. But let's get right to the rest of my picks for Week 10. I went 10-4 last week and that puts me at 74-33 (.692) for the season.No more BYE weeks for the rest of the season.

NFL Week 10 - Sunday, November 13

1:00PM Games

Lions OVER Bears
- UPSET SPECIAL - I am surprised the Bears are favored in this game. I know they just game off a big win against the Eagles but they have their weaknesses that's for sure. The Lions do have to go on the road to win this game but I think they will be able to take care of the Bears.
Jaguars OVER Colts - I think the Colts have started to show sparks this season as they continue to move on without Peyton Manning. However, MJD and the Jags will prevail and keep the Colts win-less on the road.
Chiefs OVER Broncos - I wasn't sold on the whole Tebow thing from the beginning and thankfully that hasn't come to bite me, yet. The Chiefs have looked decent the past couple weeks and I feel that at home they can take care of the dismantled Broncos.
Steelers OVER Bengals - I will be rooting for the Bengals in this game of course and at home it will give them an advantage. No one is talking about the Bengals that much this year and they are a decent team and are gonna surprise some people if they were to make the playoffs. However, the Steelers are just to strong on both sides of the ball not to lose this game but they are gonna have to fight hard for it.
Bills OVER Cowboys - UPSET SPECIAL - I cannot believe the Cowboys are favored in this game. Yes, the Bills lost pretty bad to the Jets last week who successfully exploited the Bills weaknesses. However, the Cowboys beat a bad Seahawks team and still have not impressed me at all this year. I look for Buffalo to come back strong in Arlington and take down the Cowboys.
Saints OVER Falcons - NFC South lead is on the line in this game and I would love to see the Falcons win but they have let me down this year in a lot of cases. Being at home may help them a little bit, but the Saints need to make a big run here and I think it may start with this game (although I hope they don't beat the Giants in a few weeks). This will be a good game and probably come down to a one or two possession game.
Browns OVER Rams - Seems like this game should be an easy one to pick considering the Rams situation this year. I really thought the Rams were gonna be better this year and was rooting for them early but unfortunately the complete opposite has happened. The Browns are still in the midst of their re-building but I like what I see on both sides of the ball. I look for them to win a low-scoring affair at home this week.
Redskins OVER Dolphins - UPSET SPECIAL - Once again, the Skins fail to be favored this week in a game that, I think, is gonna be ugly. The Dolphins got their first win last week against a rallying Chiefs team and the have the potential to be a decent team. If the Skins offense doesn't score some points they WILL lose this game. The Defense is doing it's job every game but it's a no longer "Defense wins games" league. Skins better realize that this week.
Texans OVER Bucs - The Texans will win the AFC South this year. And this game will only help them to achieve that task. The Bucs have flaked all year and even at home this week I don't feel like this game will be any different. Get ready for a big game by Foster.
Panthers OVER Titans - Call me crazy, but I like the Panthers at home this week. The Titans have been one of those teams this year that I don't want to pick against but with this game I like the panthers who are actually favored to win. Now if you ask me, I am buying on Cam Newton and have been since the first game.
Eagles OVER Cardinals - The Eagles are DEFINITELY not the team we thought they were gonna be this year. I would hope they could beat the lowly Cards at home this week, but who knows. McCoy should be able to have a big game against a week Cards Defense.

4:00PM Games

Ravens OVER Seahawks
- Ravens coming off a huge win in Pittsburgh and I don't think they should have any problems continuing with that momentum on the road against the Seahawks.
Giants OVER 49ers - UPSET SPECIAL - I like that the Giants are not favored in this game. Granted the 49ers have been playing lights out this year which nobody expected. However, the Giants have been playing pretty well and need to keep that momentum through there grueling second half schedule. This year's Giants team kinda reminds me of the Super Bowl year. We'll see how they do on the road against a tough 49ers team.

Sunday Night Game
Patriots OVER Jets
- UPSET SPECIAL - The Jets are playing really well at home this year and I would like nothing more than to see the Patriots go down 3 weeks in a row. However, I don't think Brady is gonna let that happen especially if it's a chance to take down the rival Jets. Pats win on the road.

Monday Night Game
Packers OVER Vikings
- I don't even really think I needed to pick this game. But I guess I will. Packers will stay undefeated at home this week and keep on pace to complete the perfect season.

Well there they are, my Week 10 picks. Enjoy the games everyone!

-R.N.N.
@ryannnelson87 on Twitter
rnelson0187@gmail.com

Thursday, November 3, 2011

NFL Week 9 Picks

I have been so busy lately I forgot to do my picks last week. Well, I did them on paper but just forgot to do a post about them. That being said I went 9-4 last week and that takes me to a 64-29 (.688) record for the season so far after the halfway point of the season. Crazy to think we are already halfway through the NFL season but it's true. If I have some time this weekend I will try and do my mid-season report. Teams with the Bye this week are: Panthers, Lions, Jaguars, and Vikings. Here are my Week 9 picks.

NFL Week 9 - Sunday, November 6

1:00PM Games

Chiefs OVER Dolphins
- Chiefs started looking like a decent team last week against the Chargers. I think they will continue that play at home against the winless Dolphins who might not win a single game this year.
Saints OVER Bucs - I can't believe the Saints lost and gave the Rams their first win of the season. I think the Saint bounce back huge here at home and get back on track.
Falcons OVER Colts - Falcons can easily win this game on the road and I think they will. With Julio Jones back in the line-up for Matt Ryan he should be able to spread the ball around more.
Texans OVER Browns - The Texans have rebounded very well this season and are looking very well considering their early season woes. They should be able to win this game at home pretty easily.
Bills OVER Jets - I think this game will be a lot closer than people are giving it credit for. The Jets D plays well in close games so look for them to disrupt Fred Jackson and the run game and kill some of the swag of Ryan Fitzpatrick. I still think the Bills take the game at home but will have to fight for it.
49ers OVER Redskins - This is the first week I have not picked the Skins to win. I was sold early but now after they lost 3 or 4 in a row I'm not sold anymore. This Skins team is starting to look no different then any other team we have seen from them in the past few years. I just hope they can save the season. The Niners are just too strong this year and I look for them to win this one on the road.
Cowboys OVER Seahawks - After last week I would be happy if the Cowboys don't win another game this year. However, with that said I don't see how they can lose this game to a pretty bad Seattle team and at home. We'll see what happens but I think the Cowboys will win.

4:00PM Games

Bengals OVER Titans
- UPSET SPECIAL - I was surprised to see the Titans favored in this game. Granted, it is only by 3 points and they are at home for this one. I love the Bengals this year. They are doing very well and tied for 2nd place in the AFC North. Two rookies have had a lot of pressure on their shoulders this year and they have performed well and way beyond expectations. Cedric Benson is back from his one game suspension. Watch out.
Raiders OVER Broncos - I feel bad for Tim Tebow. People put him so high on the pedestal that his lack of production is gonna bring him down so far and hard after this season is over. The Raiders D doesn't mess around. Tebow is gonna get tossed around like a rag doll just like last week against the Lions. The Black and Silver roll on at home.
Giants OVER Patriots - UPSET SPECIAL - This has got to be probably the biggest upset I have picked all year. Am I a blind fan? Probably so. BUT SO WHAT! Rematch of Super Bowl XLII and both teams at 5-2. Giants come off a hard fought win at home against the Dolphins and the Patriots come off a heart-breaking late game loss to the Steelers in Pittsburgh. The Patriots are known for not losing 2 games in a row very often. Well this could be it. For the Giants this starts their grueling second-half schedule and it would be great to start it off with a win. The D is pretty much back to full strength. I look to them to disrupt the Pats pass happy offense. GO GIANTS!
Cardinals OVER Rams - Both of these teams had surprisingly good games last week against quality opponents. The Rams came away with a stunning win and the Cardinals a close loss but allowed a huge comeback. I like the Cardinals to bounce back after last week and get the win at home.
Packers OVER Chargers - The Packers are just unbeatable right now. The only undefeated team left in the league and they don't show any signs of slowing down. The Chargers look good one week and just horrendous the next. Packers should be able to win this one on the road with no issues.

Sunday Night Game
Ravens OVER Steelers
- UPSET SPECIAL - Big win for both teams last week. Granted, the Ravens had to comeback to beat the lowly Cardinals while the Steelers had a hard fought victory against a quality opponent in the Patriots. I like the Ravens though. Even though they have kinda been back and forth at times this year I still feel like they can win this game, even on the road. Games like these are always fought in the trenches and we should expect nothing different under the lights in primetime on Sunday night.

Monday Night Game
Eagles OVER Bears
- Eagles dominated in Primetime last week at home and now they get the chance to do it again at home against the Bears. Look for McCoy to have another big day on the ground. But watch out for the Bears who can also run the ball with Forte. This game might be a little closer than expected but the Eagles will get back to .500 at home.

There they are. Hopefully I don't miss another week this season. Be on the look out for my mid-season report either this weekend or early next week. Hope everyone enjoys the games!

-R.N.N.
@ryannnelson87 on Twitter
rnelson0187@gmail.com