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Wednesday, October 19, 2011

NFL Week 7 Picks

Some great headlines this week as we approach that much closer to the halfway point of the season! Carson Palmer gets his redemption shot in Oakland and the Redskins are potentially ending the Sexy Rexy era in Washington this week by announcing that John Beck will be starting in Carolina this coming Sunday. Both of these moves are bold to say the least and we shall see how they pan out. Last week I went 10-3 on my picks and that puts me at 46-21 for the season (.687). The teams with Byes this week are: Bills, Bengals, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, and 49ers (all much needed if you ask me). Here are my picks for Week 7.

NFL Week 7 - Sunday, October 23

1:00PM Games

Jets OVER Chargers
- UPSET SPECIAL - I am very surprised the Chargers are favored on the road this week and especially at New York. I guess they are coming off a much needed bye week and the Jets are still struggling to find their groove. I still like the Jets to win as the Chargers have been off and on all year so far.
Browns OVER Seahawks - The Seahawks got lucky two weeks ago against the Giants. I expect they will back to their old ways this week and lose to a Browns team that has shown at times it has a spark this year.
Lions OVER Falcons - I'm disappointed in the Falcons this year. I am not disappointed in the Lions, at all. They will bounce back after the tough loss to the 49ers at home in a big way. Watch out Matt Ryan.
Redskins OVER Panthers - UPSET SPECIAL - I don't think the Redskins have been favored yet in a game this year. Are they ever gonna catch a break? Well they might need one in this game as fresh starter John Beck goes up against a Carolina team with nothing to lose. I'm rooting for the Skins but they need to step it up.
Bears OVER Bucs - Don't see the Bears losing this one although the Bucs are at home and did just come off a nice looking win against the Saints last week. Look for the Bears to run the ball more this game and take a tough road win.
Broncos OVER Dolphins - UPSET SPECIAL - The Tim Tebow era has begun in Denver and the fans are loving it. I hope Tebow does well and anything the Broncos can get to boost morale is good which is why they will win this game.
Texans OVER Titans - UPSET SPECIAL - This game is a tough one to pick. Both teams trying to find an identity in that dismal AFC South and it seems that Titans may get the better of this one. However, I like Schaub and the Texans to give them a run for their money and get this one on the road.

4:00PM Games

Steelers OVER Cardinals
- Need I say any more? I thought the Cardinals might have been decent this year..but if you lose to the Vikings you get no respect from me...Steelers win an easy one on the road.
Raiders OVER Chiefs - Can the Raiders be a legit contender now that they gave up their life savings to acquire an aging yet savvy veteran like Carson Palmer? I honestly think so. The AFC seems weak this year compared to years past and the Raiders definitely look like a team that could surprise some people if they were to go to the Playoffs.
Packers OVER Vikings - need I say any more? Can't help but think this one might be a very big blowout by the Packers.
Cowboys OVER Rams - If this game had happened say a couple weeks I would have easily picked the Rams for the upset but not now. It pains me to pick the Cowboys but they should have no problems winning this one easily at home.


Sunday Night Game
Saints OVER Colts
- A Super Bowl rematch from a couple seasons ago except there is one big difference, no Peyton Manning. Saints did look like they had some problems last week against the Bucs but should be able to rebound at home.

Monday Night Game
Ravens OVER Jaguars
- Ravens like to win games the old-fashioned way with tough defense and grimy, hard-nosed running with Ray Rice and Ricky Williams. Flacco can light it up when he needs to and this is why the Ravens are gonna be tough to beat the rest of the season at home or away.

We're almost halfway through the season already! Can't believe it. Hope everyone enjoys this week's games!

-R.N.N.
@ryannnelson87 on Twitter
rnelson0187@gmail.com

Friday, October 14, 2011

NFL Week 6 Picks

Another great week in the NFL has passed us by and yet another week of great football is yet before us come Sunday. I was 9-4 last week as there were less games to pick with the Bye weeks starting. So that puts me at 43-18 (.705) for the season. The teams that have the Bye this week are: Cardinals, Broncos, Chiefs, Chargers, Seahawks, and Titans. Here are my picks for Week 6.

NFL Week 6 - Sunday, October 16

1:00PM Games

Falcons OVER Panthers - This will be a hard fought win for the Falcons with Julio Jones scheduled to be out for this game and Turner being off and on all season. Falcons will really have to do a lot to win but I think they can do it.
Lions OVER 49ers - I really like both of these teams this year. I wish they could both win but sadly that is impossible. The city of Detroit is really starting to get behind this year's team and when they are at home I don't think they can be stopped. Lions win a close one.
Bengals OVER Colts - The Bengals are sneaky this year. Although the Colts have looked OK the past couple weeks with Painter at the helm, I still think the Bengals are surprising people this year. Bengals win a close one.
Redskins OVER Eagles
- UPSET SPECIAL - Kinda hard to think the Eagles are still favored in this one with the Redskins at home. But I'm sure you Skins fans out there remember the Monday Night debacle last year in Washington that I still think is haunting everyone in DC. I like the Skins in this one.
Packers OVER Rams - Do I even need to explain myself in this one.....Packers stay undefeated.
Steelers OVER Jaguars - I think the Steelers might be getting back on track if they can stay healthy. This game should help them out a little.
Giants OVER Bills - Surprised once again that after last week's loss that the Giants are still favored in this one but I guess it is because they are at home. I do still like the Giants in this one at home. Once again, Eli is back to throwing INTs and the Defense is back to being injured. So the odds might be stacked against them in this one but the home field will hopefully give them the edge in this close game.

4:00PM Games

Raiders OVER Browns
- Sorry Brownies, but that Defense is still too vulnerable and will not be able to stop McFadden from having a big game. Raiders might run away with this one.
Ravens OVER Texans - Ravens should be fresh after their Bye week and ready to win at home.
Saints OVER Bucs - Saints are just too good and overpowering not to lose this game especially since the Bucs have disappointed a lot of experts this year. Bucs can't seem to find that good mood.
Patriots OVER Cowboys - The Patriots may be giving up a lot of yards this year but they are still gaining more and outscoring their opponents and winning games. This game will be no different at home for Brady and the boys.

Sunday Night Game
Bears OVER Vikings
- the Vikings woes will continue in Prime time and will have no choice but to start a new QB next week. If the Bears give the ball to Forte at least 20 times they will have no problems winning this game at home.

Monday Night Game
Jets OVER Dolphins
- Jets had a tough loss last week against the Patriots. They seem to want to get in a grove but just can't seem to get over that hump. Maybe this game against a Dolphin team in shambles will help them find that groove.

Well there are my Week 6 picks. Hope everyone enjoys the games this week.

-R.N.N.
@ryannnelson87 on Twitter
rnelson0187@gmail.com

Tuesday, October 4, 2011

NFL Week 5 Picks

Some awesome upsets last week in the NFL as both the Eagles and Cowboys collapsed and fell to 1-3 on the year so far. Nevertheless, it is still only Week 5 and very early in the season. Last week I went 12-4 on my picks despite the upsets and that puts me at 34-14 (.708) for the season. The Bye Weeks start this week and the teams that get the break are as follows: Ravens, Browns, Cowboys, Dolphins, Rams, and Redskins. Now here are my Week 5 picks.

NFL Week 5 - Sunday, October 9

1:00PM Games

Saints OVER Panthers
- Saints better be careful because Cam Newton is adapting the NFL pretty quickly and looking very dangerous...plus that Saints D isn't playing the greatest right now.
Bills OVER Eagles - UPSET SPECIAL - Dare I say the Eagle fall to 1-4? If they aren't careful that could very well happen. I will be rooting for the Bills and definitley think they are playing at a different level right now and can win this game.
Giants OVER Seahawks - Thankfully the Giants are back home this week and this will help as Eli looks to continue his great play at QB and the D continues to stay in line.
Bengals OVER Jaguars - UPSET SPECIAL - The Bengals surprisingly upset the Bills last week. I don't think anyone expected them to be .500 by this time in the season. Dalton and AJ Green are shaping up to be good investments and I look for them to win again this week against the weak Jaguars.
Colts OVER Cheifs - Even though the Colts have not won a game yet they have started to show a little promise over the past few weeks that they may be able so salvage some of this season if things keep developing. I like them to get their first win at home this week.
Steelers OVER Titans - I would like nothing more for the Steelers to lose this week. Big Ben is not getting any protection behind that line and it makes me nervous to still pick them this week over a continued surging Titans team but I still feel that the Steelers will use this game to get back on track at home.
Cardinals OVER Vikings - UPSET SPECIAL - Didn't think the win-less Vikings would be favored in this game but I do feel that the Cardinals will have the edge going into this game as the Vikings look to start a new QB. Vikings stay win-less.
Texans OVER Raiders - I like both of these teams this year. Although the Raiders got handled last week look for them to put up a fight as they always seem to do. The Texans without Andre Johnson will look to run more and the healthy Arian Foster will take this gladly.

4:00PM Games

49ers OVER Bucs
- 49ers 3-1? Yes, you read right...the 49ers have a winning record going into this week. Good for them. After the huge upset over the Eagles last week I think they will keep that momentum going forward against the Bucs this week at home.
Patriots OVER Jets
- The Jets just look lost out there especially after the loss to the Ravens on MNF last week. I don't see this game going any other way but maybe another 400+ yard passing game for Brady.
Chargers OVER Broncos - Philip Rivers has not turned the ball over in the last 2 games and actually is starting to look like the QB he did a few years ago. Broncos are just out of whack right now and I don't see them even keeping this game close.

Sunday Night Game
Packers OVER Falcons
- the Champs stay undefeated. Enough said. Rodgers is already looking like a HOFer.

Monday Night Game
Lions OVER Bears
- Do we all remember the shotty call last year in Chicago? This game happens to be in Detroit so even a better reason for the Lions to get some revenge. Megatron and Stafford hook up for another 2 TDs.

There are my picks for Week 5. Hope everyone enjoys the games and have a fun and safe Columbus Day Weekend!

-R.N.N.
@ryannnelson87 on Twitter
rnelson0187@gmail.com